HUDSON COUNTY — We take nothing for granted weatherwise anymore. A few forecasters said yesterday that there is a small chance of a nor’easter or “hybrid” storm this Sunday or Monday. It would start near the Carolinas and head north toward the end of the week.
Accuweather forecaster Alex Sosnowski wrote, “Later this weekend, the movement of an offshore storm will have to be watched for possible impact on weather and sea conditions along the Atlantic coast.”
A blogger at Weather Undeground (wunderground.com) got more specific on Tuesday: “A weak area of low pressure along this front will move over the coastal waters several hundred miles offshore of South Carolina on Thursday, where the ECMWF and Canadian GEM models predict that development into a tropical or subtropical depression could occur by Friday. Ocean temperatures off the South Carolina coast are just warm enough for development, 26 – 27°C, so this scenario is plausible. However, the other two reliable models for tropical cyclone genesis, the GFS and UKMET models, are not predicting development. …NHC gave no odds that anything would spin up in the next five days. Out of respect for the ECMWF model, which has the lowest incidence of false alarms for predicting genesis of tropical cyclones, I put the 5-day odds of development at 20%. The ECMWF and GEM models predict that the storm will head slowly northwards, and the ECMWF model predicts that sustained winds of 30 – 40 mph will affect much of the mid-Atlantic coast on Sunday and Monday.”
As for early Wednesday morning, the Accuweather forecast, found by clicking the upper right of hudsonreporter.com, simply predicted sunshine and fall temperatures (60s and low 70s) into next week, with no rain.
Keep watching hudsonreporter.com for updates.
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